Ezra Klein has a good blog on the likelyhood that the 'Republican Establishment' will not 'let' Newt be the nominee.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/post/newt-gingrich-will-not-be-the-republican-nominee--even-if-it-means-a-brokered-convention/2011/08/25/gIQARQ0DiO_blog.html
He points out that they, the 'Republican Establishment, are 'mobilizing' the likes of Will, Krauthammer, Brooks, Coburn, Coulter and others and and that this will somehow be seen as sage advice and the Republican voters will turn again to 25% Mitt.
He takes a different route then Nate Silver who, rightly, sees Newt winning Iowa, 2nd in New Hampshire and then building on that, wins in South Carolina and Florida and so on and so on.
Klein ignores the fact that the 'Republican Establishment' is just too late in coming to the 'rescue' of Romney.
That should have happened last May after Palin had spent months teasing the voters and the press, after Bachmann rose in the polls while spouting nonsense about the history of our Nation and the legislative process and especially after The Donald rose in the polls after pushing the 'Obama wasn't a natural born citizen'.
By not stopping THAT, letting The Donald, Palin and then Perry go unchallenged (except for a few asides) in spouting that nonsense, thus giving those three and the 'issue' of Obama's birth 'credibility', the 'Republican Establishment' lost all of it's credibility.
Gingrich is not 'rising'. There simply is no one (with at least a realistic chance) left.
Palin, Bachmann, The Donald, Perry and then Cain. All self destructed. They shoulld have been at best bottom teir candidates but instead the 'Republican Establishment' along with FOX 'news' gave them time and voice which uninformed voters looking to be lead, eagerly accepted them as the role models for the Republican Party.
Newt doesn't have time, although he normally would, to self destruct as the voting begins in just a couple of weeks and Romney is just too weak to attack him. Newt has 25 years expereince attacking others and (usually when he self destructs) responding to attacks on him.
The 'Republican Establishment' blew it last Spring by not stopping the stupidity of what should have been the lower teir candidates and by not encouraging, nuturing the likes of Daniels, Pawlenty, backing Christie when he was considering and maybe even giving greater voice to Jeb Bush.
It doesn't mean that Bush or Christie would BE candidates but it would have shown the general electorate that the 'Republican Establishment' was at least serious about finding intelligent and reasonable representatives for the Grand Old Party.
And THAT would have given them a landslide victory in November 2012 instead of the now more then likely defeat at the Presidential level and also a now growing possibility of a defeat in taking the Senate and maybe even the growing possibllity of losing the House.
The growing backlash of moderates voting not for Obama but against the bitterness of Newt and that carrying over into other races.
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